A flood crisis could become a food crisis


welcome to foreign policySouth Asian Briefs.

Highlights of the week: The ongoing flood crisis in Pakistan can exacerbate food insecurity, prime minister of bangladesh met her Indian counterparts in New Delhi, some girls’ school Reopened in Afghanistan.

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Food crisis looming in Pakistan

Pakistan continues to suffer from devastating floods. About a third of the country remains submerged and most of her 33 million people affected by the disaster are still without assistance. But the crisis could get even worse. On Tuesday, a retaining wall in Pakistan’s largest lake collapsed due to rising water levels, endangering communities downstream. More monsoon rains are expected in the coming weeks.

International aid is pouring into Pakistan and newly established humanitarian air routes are facilitating the arrival of emergency relief. More than a dozen countries have pledged to help. UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres has described the floods as a “monsoon on steroids” and will visit Pakistan on Friday to assess the damage. The immediate focus is on providing food, clean water and shelter. Pakistani officials and international donors are also working to address the public health challenge.

But another disaster is looming with direct global impact. It’s a massive food crisis. With crops, livestock and agricultural land damaged or destroyed, Pakistan will struggle to feed itself and the countries that rely on food exports. This risks exacerbating the shock to supply chains from the coronavirus pandemic and the crisis in global food markets caused by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

Preliminary estimates show that 65% of Pakistan’s main food crops, including 70% of rice, have been swept away by the floods, killing 3 million livestock. Pakistan’s Planning Minister says 45% of his farmland is now destroyed. Such territories are the most valuable. Less than 40% of Pakistan’s total land area is arable, and land erosion wreaks havoc on agricultural lands.

Wheat is Pakistan’s main food crop and the annual planting season is about to begin. Over 90% of his Pakistani households are wheat consumers. But so much land has been destroyed or damaged that the wheat harvest could be jeopardized. Some farmers fear their land will become unusable within the next three months. Pakistan will have to import more food, raising costs and potentially exacerbating the country’s balance of payments crisis. Food inflation before the flood was he 26%, but recently some costs he has soared as much as 500%.

These high costs are felt more in cities with large poor and working-class populations. If history is any guide, it can lead to urban unrest. It will manifest differently in rural areas, where about two-thirds of Pakistan’s population lives. Rural land tenure is highly unequal, with most residents owning little or no land, exacerbating food insecurity. In the long term, this could exacerbate public health problems. That is, child stunting due to malnutrition.

Pakistan’s food crisis will have international repercussions. The country is the world’s fourth largest rice exporter, with buyers from China to sub-Saharan Africa. A dramatic decline in exports will only add to global food insecurity by declining wheat exports from Ukraine, but high global rice stocks could soften the blow. , exports many non-edible crops, especially cotton.

If the floods subside soon, Pakistan could avoid the worst-case scenario and save some farmland. Most of Pakistan’s wheat and rice are grown in the Punjab province, which was less affected by the floods. However, given the scale of the floods, the most significant damage has already been done. The international donor community is already grappling with deep crises in Afghanistan and Ukraine, and donor fatigue remains a concern for Pakistan. The global impact of the flood crisis highlights the importance of global assistance to forestall another disaster.


FP Live: Sign up for a 30 minute live discussion with the NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg Thursday, September 15, 9:00 a.m. ET on the war in Ukraine and how NATO members can put pressure on Russia.


Bangladesh Prime Minister visits New Delhi. Bangladeshi Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina visited New Delhi this week and met with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi. The visit brought him seven new agreements in areas such as railways and nuclear energy. In their public statements, the two leaders stressed the importance of trade and connectivity, with Modi saying the two countries would soon begin talks on a new comprehensive economic partnership.

India and Bangladesh have friendly relations. India eventually backed the fighters she created the new state of Bangladesh in 1971, and strong ties have persisted ever since. However, Dhaka has taken issue with some of the Modi government’s Hindu nationalist policies, including a new immigration law that provides quick citizenship options for religious minorities who immigrate from neighboring countries but exclude Muslims. I’m holding

When Prime Minister Modi visited Dhaka last year to mark Bangladesh’s 50th anniversary of independence, Islamist hardliners staged violent protests. The continued failure to conclude a long-drafted water-sharing agreement governing the Teesta River, largely due to resistance from India’s West Bengal state government, has also caused tension. Nonetheless, PM Modi wants to strengthen ties with Bangladesh as part of his government’s neighborhood-first policy and secure connectivity agreements with neighboring countries other than Pakistan.

Islamic State-Khorasan Attacks Russian EmbassyIslamic State Khorasan, which operates in Afghanistan, claimed to have carried out an attack outside the Russian embassy in Kabul on Monday. A suicide bomber detonated explosives near the entrance, killing six of him, including two embassy staff. This is the first known attack on a foreign diplomatic installation in Afghanistan since the Taliban took control of Afghanistan last year.

Taliban leaders have boasted of the restoration of security since taking power. For the few countries with a diplomatic presence in Taliban-led Afghanistan, including China, Russia, Iran, Pakistan and most recently India, the attacks could raise concerns about the security of their personnel. Although it does not recognize the regime, it may be inclined to formalize its ties with the Taliban if it gets assurances about its security concerns.The attack on the Moscow embassy deepens those concerns. Only.

India’s new aircraft carrier. India recently launched INS Vikran, its first indigenous aircraft carrier, which is important for three reasons. First, it shows India’s naval power struggling to keep up with China’s naval modernization. Second, it refutes Washington’s criticism that New Delhi’s indigenous defense production system is inefficient. Finally, INS Vikran As Beijing expands its naval presence in its backyard, it demonstrates the strategic importance of India’s stronger sea power.

Despite being produced in India, the new aircraft carrier includes components imported from major defense partners such as France, Israel, Russia and the United States.


Officials in eastern Afghanistan’s Paktia province said this week that girls’ high schools had reopened in recent days. An older girls’ school has been closed since the Taliban takeover, and the group broke promises to reopen the school in March.

Curiously, a spokesman for the state’s education department said the department was not informed in advance about the reopening and a letter was sent to the country’s education minister requesting more information.

Officials in Kabul have also professed ignorance. Zabiullah Mujahid, the Taliban’s top spokesperson, said Tuesday he did not know why schools were reopening or who approved the changes. One of his possible explanations is that his network of the Haqqani, a brutal faction of the Taliban, is behind this move. Paktia is a historic stronghold group whose leaders reportedly support the reopening of all girls’ schools.

Afghan Interior Minister Sirajuddin Haqqani, one of the leaders of the Haqqani network, could have defied Taliban leaders and forced provinces to reopen schools. If so, the move could deepen the rifts that have appeared within the Taliban in recent months.


How Ukraine Will Change US Grand Strategy by FP contributor

Why Trumpism Persists Michael Hirsch

International Relations Theory Suggests Coming Great Power War Matthew Kronig


journalist Ardil Buller write to Print Regarding the Indian public’s increasing interest in China amid intensifying strategic competition. “Searching for Chinese state media statements on border disputes using social media while finding clues to deployments in satellite imagery has become a full-time activity for many,” he wrote. increase.

a daily mirror editorial describes recent major victories by the Sri Lanka national cricket team. This victory beat the highly favored Indian team. It also explains how it temporarily distracted the nation’s population from many hardships. has been superseded by ,” it says.

in the Kathmandu Post,commentator deepak tapa We lament the excesses of VIP culture in Nepal and the inconvenience it imposes on the general public. “



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